By John Isaacs
Flash Senate race updates (Feb. 26, 2020): Maine and Kentucky: Polls in both states show Senate challengers even with incumbents.In Maine, Sara Gideon (D) is statistically tied with Sen. Susan Collins (R), 43%-42%. In Kentucky, Amy McGrath (D) is also even or close with Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell in two polls. Georgia B: Rev. Dr. Raphael Warnock (D) has entered the Senate race and has been endorsed by the DSCC. He still faces two primary opponents, Matt Lieberman (D) and Ed Tarver (D). Georgia B: Rep. Doug Collins (R), a Trump favorite, is launching a primary challenge to appointed Senator Kelly Loeffler (R). Wyoming: Rep. Liz Cheney (R), who would have been major opposition to former Rep. Cynthia Lummis, has said she will not run. Kansas: Secretary of State Mike Pompeo has declared he will not run for Senate from Kansas. Prospects for the Democratic candidate state senator Barbara Bollier have picked up, as the leading Republican candidate, former Secretary of State Kris Kobach, could lose this race as he lost the governor’s race in 2018.
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Alaska: Orthopedic surgeon Al Gross, an independent who is seeking the Democratic nomination to face Sen. Dan Sullivan (R) and has unified the Democratic Party behind his campaign.
Alabama – The most vulnerable Democratic incumbent in 2020 is Sen. Doug Jones (D). In 2017, Jones won a stunning upset victory 50%-48% over former state Supreme Court Justice Roy Moore (R) in this usually solid Republican state. There is no clear Republican nominee, but Jones is considered underdog. In June, to the dismay of many Republicans, Moore announced he would run again. Other Republican candidates are U.S. Rep. Bradley Byrne (R), former Auburn University football coach Tommy Tuberville (R) and former Senator and Attorney General Jeff Sessions. In the meantime, state Rep. John Rogers (D), who has represented the Birmingham suburbs for almost 40 years, will run against Jones in a primary.
Arizona – Martha McSally (R), after losing a close election in 2018 to Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (D) by 50%-48%, was appointed to take the seat of late Senator John McCain (R), and has to run again in 2020. Mark Kelly (D), astronaut and husband of former Rep. Gabrielle Giffords, is her challenger. It is going to be a close contest.
Colorado – Sen. Cory Gardner (R) is considered one of the most vulnerable Republicans in the 2020 election. In 2018, Democrats won the governorship in Colorado and picked up one House seat, and Hillary Clinton carried the state in 2016. In August, former Governor John Hickenlooper dropped his candidacy for President and announced he will run for this Senate seat. Most other Democratic candidates then dropped out.
Georgia A – The state has been moving towards a purple status; Stacey Abrams (D) lost her 2018 race for governor in a very close race by only 50%-49%, but declined entreaties to run for Senate against Sen. Davie Purdue (R). Former Columbus Mayor Teresa Tomlinson (D) is running as is Jon Ossoff (D), former congressional candidate.
Georgia B – Kelly Loeffler (R), a businesswoman and co-owner of the Atlanta Dream in the Women’s National Basketball Association, has been named Sen. Johnny Isakson’s (R) replacement by Georgia Gov. Brian Kemp. Isakson is retiring at the end of the year due to health reasons. Loeffler will hold the seat until a November 2020 special election, creating two elections then. She will be challenged by Rep. Doug Collins (R), Matt Lieberman (D), Ed Tarver (D) and Rev. Dr. Raphael Warnock (D) in an open primary. If no candidate wins 50% of the vote in November, there will be a runoff vote in January.
Iowa – Iowa Sen. Joni Ernst (R) is running for reelection. National Democrats, including the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee and Emily’s List, appear to be rallying around real estate executive and former congressional candidate Theresa Greenfield (D). However, there are other candidates in the race, including insurance company owner Eddie Mauro and retired Navy Admiral Michael Franken. Ernst is considered the favorite.
Kansas –Incumbent Senator Pat Roberts (R) will retire after this term, his fourth. The state has not elected a Democratic Senator since 1932, and although a Democrat captured the governorship in 2018, Republicans are favored to hold the seat. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo has declared he will not run for Senate from Kansas. Prospects for the Democratic candidate state senator Barbara Bollier, a former Republican, have picked up, as the leading Republican candidate, former Secretary of State Kris Kobach, could lose this race as he lost the governor’s race in 2018. Also running are U.S. Representative Roger Marshall (R) and other candidates.
Kentucky – Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R) surmounted a tough challenge in 2014, 56%-41%. But he could face a difficult election next year because of his close connection to President Trump and his lukewarm ratings in the state. However, the Majority Leader is a strong campaigner who has shown an ability to raise vast amounts of money. In July, former fighter pilot and House candidate Amy McGrath (D) announced she is running and has done fabulously with her fundraising
Maine – Sen. Susan Collins (R) has been a highly popular incumbent in the state, but alienated many moderate voters with some votes, particularly to confirm Judge Kavanaugh. In 2018, Democrats picked up the governorship from a retiring Republican and won both House seats in the state. In late June, state House Speaker Sara Gideon’s jumped into the race, and immediately was endorsed by the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee and EMILY’s List. Betsy Sweet (D), who took third place in last year’s primary for governor, Bre Kidman (D) and former Google Executive Ross LaJeunesse are also running.
Massachusetts – While incumbent Democratic Senator Ed Markey appeared to have an easy reelection, U.S. Rep. Joseph P. Kennedy III (D) is challenging Markey. Early polls show that Kennedy could be a slight favorite.
Michigan – Army veteran John James (R), lost in 2018 to Sen. Debbie Stabenow, is challenging Democratic incumbent Gary Peters. James lost by a fairly close 52%-46% to Stabnow, and raised $12 million for his race.
Minnesota – Senator Tina Smith (D), appointed to replace Sen. Al Franken, won in 2018 by 53%-42% over former state senator Karen Housley for the last two years of Franken’s term. Smith faces another election in 2020 for a full six-year term, and will get another major challenge. Jason Lewis, who served as U.S. representative for one term before being ousted by Rep. Angie Craig in 2018, is running against Sen. Smith.
Mississippi – Democrat Mike Espy, a former Congressman and Secretary of Agriculture, who held Republican Senator Cindy Hyde-Smith to a 54%-46% win for the last two years of Sen. Thad Cochran’s (R) seat, has filed to run against her again. Hyde-Smith could also face a Republican challenger.
New Mexico – Sen. Tom Udall (D) has announced his retirement at the end of this term. While Democrats have dominated elections in recent years, Republicans are still competitive. Rep. Ben Ray Luján (D) is the Democratic candidate.
North Carolina – Sen. Thom Tillis (R-NC), who alienated President Trump and now is his best friend, is running for re-election.Former Democratic state Sen. Cal Cunningham joined the race in June and is running close in polls.
South Carolina – Senator Lindsey Graham (R) has gone from Trump opponent in 2016 to Trump critic to Trump ally. Democrats are rallying around former South Carolina Democratic Party Chair Jaime Harrison, former top aide to Rep. Jim Clyburn (D).
Tennessee –Tennessee Republican Sen. Lamar Alexander, who has served since 2003, has announced his retirement at the end of this term. His replacement is likely to be a Republican; In 2018, Democrats thought they had a chance to win a Senate seat in this state, but ex-governor Phil Bredesen (D) won only 44% of the vote against then-Rep. Marsha Blackburn (R). Attorney and Iraq War Army veteran James Mackler (D), who ran in 2018 before dropping out when Bredesen entered the race, is running.
Texas – Republican Senate Majority Whip John Cornyn will be the favorite to be re-elected. In late April, Air Force veteran MJ Hegar (D), who lost a close 51%-48% House race in TX-31, announced she will run.
Wyoming – Sen. Michael Enzi (R-WY) has announced his retirement at the end of this term. Former Rep. Cynthia Lummis is running. Rep. Liz Cheney (R), who would have been major opposition, has said she will not run.
33 Senators Up for Election in 2020
Democrats – 12
Booker, Cory A. (D-NJ)
Coons, Christopher A. (D-DE)
Durbin, Richard J. (D-IL)
Jones, Doug (D-AL)
Markey, Edward J. (D-MA)
Merkley, Jeff (D-OR)
Peters, Gary C. (D-MI)
Reed, Jack (D-RI)
Shaheen, Jeanne (D-NH)
Smith, Tina (D-MN)
Udall, Tom (D-NM) – retiring
Warner, Mark R. (D-VA)
Republicans – 23
Alexander, Lamar (R-TN) – retiring
Capito, Shelley Moore (R-WV)
Cassidy, Bill (R-LA)
Collins, Susan M. (R-ME)
Cornyn, John (R-TX)
Cotton, Tom (R-AR)
Daines, Steve (R-MT)
Enzi, Michael B. (R-WY) – retiring
Ernst, Joni (R-IA)
Gardner, Cory (R-CO)
Graham, Lindsey (R-SC)
Hyde-Smith, Cindy (R-MS)
Inhofe, James M. (R-OK)
Loeffler, Kelly (R) (named to replace Sen. Johnny Isakson (R)
McConnell, Mitch (R-KY)
McSally, Martha (R-AZ)
Perdue, David (R-GA)
Risch, James E. (R-ID)
Roberts, Pat (R-KS) – retiring
Rounds, Mike (R-SD)
Sasse, Ben (R-NE)
Sullivan, Dan (R-AK)
Tillis, Thom (R-NC)
