By John D. Isaacs
With the House so evenly divided between Democrats and Republicans, both parties are gearing up for the 2022 elections in which control of the House will be at stake.
A complication for both parties, however, is that the decentennial federal census that guides the drawing of House district boundaries has been delayed by six months. Thus, both parties are not sure which boundaries they will be dealing with and primaries may be postponed.
Interestingly, the two parties almost completely agree on which Democrats will be most vulnerable to a 2022 challenge. The Democratic Frontline Members and the Republican list of Battleground or Underperforming Democrats are very similar lists. Underperforming Democrats are those who won by less than 10% and underperformed the presidential ballot.
Those Members with double asterisks after their names were endorsed by Council for a Livable World in 2020. While the Council has not made any endorsements for the 2022 midterms, we will be paying close attention to these races.
Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) Announces Members of 2021-2022 Frontline Program (3-1-21)
** Previously endorsed by Council for a Livable World)
Note: Frontline is the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee’s program to protect Democratic Members of Congress in potentially competitive seats.
- Tom O’Halleran (AZ-01)
- Josh Harder (CA-10) **
- Katie Porter (CA-45) **
- Mike Levin (CA-49) **
- Jahana Hayes (CT-05)
- Lucy McBath (GA-06) **
- Carolyn Bourdeaux (GA-07)
- Cindy Axne (IA-03)
- Lauren Underwood (IL-14)
- Sharice Davids (KS-03)
- Jared Golden (ME-02) **
- Elissa Slotkin (MI-08)
- Haley Stevens (MI-11)
- Angie Craig (MN-02) **
- Chris Pappas (NH-01) **
- Andy Kim (NJ-03) **
- Tom Malinowski (NJ-07) **
- Mikie Sherrill (NJ-11)
- Susie Lee (NV-03)
- Steven Horsford (NV-04) **
- Antonio Delgado (NY-19)
- Peter DeFazio (OR-04)
- Susan Wild (PA-07) **
- Matt Cartwright (PA-08)
- Conor Lamb (PA-17)
- Lizzie Fletcher (TX-07)
- Vicente Gonzalez (TX-15)
- Colin Allred (TX-32) **
- Elaine Luria (VA-02)
- Abigail Spanberger (VA-07)
- Kim Schrier (WA-08) **
- Ron Kind (WI-03)
National Republican Campaign Committee (NRCC) Targeting 47 vulnerable Democrat Members in 2022
(2-22-21)(10 more Democrats added 5-4-21)
BATTLEGROUND DEMOCRATS
- AZ-01 O’Halleran
- CA-07 Ami Bera
- CA-10 Harder
- CA-16 Jim Costa
- CA-36 Raul Ruiz
- FL-13 Crisr
- GA-07 Bourdeaux
- IA-03 Axne
- IL-03 Marie Newman
- IL-14 Underwood
- IL-17 Bustos (retiring)
- ME-02 Golden
- MI-08 Slotkin
- MI-05 – Dan Kildee
- MI-11 Stevens
- MN-02 Craig
- NJ-03 Kim
- NJ-05 Gottheimer
- NJ-07 Malinowski
- NV-03 Lee
- NV-04 Horsford
- NY-04 Kathleen Rice
- NY-20 Paul Tonko
- NY-25 Joe Morelle
- NY-26 Brian Higgins
- OH-13 Ryan (running for Senate)
- OR-04 DeFazio
- PA-06 Houlahan
- PA-07 Wild
- PA-08 Cartwright
- PA-17 Lamb
- TX-07 Fletcher
- TX-15 Gonzalez
- TX-28 Cuellar
- TX-34 Vela
- VA-02 Luria
- VA-07 Spanberger
- WA-08 Schrier
- WI-03 Kind
UNDERPERFORMING DEMOCRATS
- Katie Porter (CA-45) **
- Mike Levin (CA-49) **
- Lucy McBath (GA-06) **
- Sean Casten (IL-06)
- Sharice Davids (KS-03)
- Chris Pappas (NH-01) **
- Kurt Schrader (OR-05)
- Colin Allred (TX-32) **
REDISTRICTING WATCH
- Ann Kirkpatrick (AZ-02)
- John Garamendi (CA-03)
- Jahana Hayes (CT-05)
- Stephanie Murphy (FL-07)
- Dean Phillips (MN-03)
- Deborah Ross (NC-02) **
- Mikie Sherrill (NJ-11)
- Thomas Suozzi (NY-03)
- Sean Maloney (NY-18)
- Antonio Delgado (NY-19)
Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee DCCC Announces 2021-2022 GOP Districts In Play (4-7-21)
DCCC 2021-2022 Districts In Play
AZ-02 (open)
AZ-06
CA-21
CA-25
CA-39
CA-48
FL-26
FL-27
IA-01
IA-02
IN-05
MO-02
NE-02
NY-02
NY-22
NY-24
OH-01
PA-01
PA-10
TX-23
TX-24
UT-04
