On September 19, Chris Cillizza, political expert and master blogger from the Washington Post, updated his list of the top 10 Senate contests that may switch parties.
Only one contest shows any possibility of switching from D to R, and that is the Louisiana Senate seat held by Sen. Mary Landrieu. But the chances of that happening are declining.
Mark Warner of Virginia (D), on the other hand, is a lock to switch the Virginia Senate seat from Warner to Warner (John to Mark).
The next three Senate seats likely to move from red to blue are, in order, New Mexico, Colorado and New Hampshire.
Is the Senate ready for two Udalls?
Then there are a bunch of toss-ups – and a toss up for an incumbent seven weeks before Election Day is usually a sign of his or her impending doom.
Alaska (Ted Stevens goes on trial today), Oregon, Minnesota and North Carolina all fit into that toss up category. So keep an eye on those too.
The modest good news for the GOP: Their candidate in Mississippi has moved into a narrow lead and Cillizza has removed Rep. Tom Allen’s contest against Maine incumbent Sen. Susan Collins from his top 10.