Two new polls out show Council endorsed candidates with solid leads.

First, let’s look at a poll for the seat in Maine left open by Rep. Tom Allen’s decision to run for Senate:

Chellie Pingree (D – CLW endorsee) – 44%
Charlie Summers (R) – 33%

This pretty much confirms the conventional wisdom that the real race in this district occurred in the Democratic primary.  Looks like we’ll be seeing Pingree in DC next year.

You can support Pingree here.

Now, to Michigan:

Gary Peters (D – CLW endorsee) – 41
Rep. Joe Knollenberg (R) –    37
Jack Kevorkian (I) – 8
Undecided – 14

This is the first time we’ve seen Peters leading, but take it with a grain of salt.  This poll was paid for by the Democratic party, and was actually taken back in August.  Party financed polls frequently favor their candidates, and one wonders why they sat on it so long.  Still, it is a clear indicator that this is a close race.

Read more about this race here.

Oh, and yes, that is Dr. Death coming in third.  Who said life (or death) doesn’t have second acts?

The race in California’s 4th Congressional District has gotten ugly.  The Council-endorsed Democrat in the race is Charlie Brown, a career Air Force officer and police official.  Brown ran against incumbent Rep. John Doolittle (R) in 2006.  Doolittle was mired in allegations of corruption because of his relationship with lobbyist Jack Abramoff, and Brown came close to defeating him.  Doolittle is now retiring, and Brown is running a strong campaign for the open seat.

The Republican in the race is Tom McClintock, a state legislator.  McClintock has been running television ads claiming that Brown attended an anti-Iraq war rally wearing his Air Force uniform at which a U.S. soldier was burned in effigy.  Brown acknowledges attending the rally – he is opposed to the war – but denies wearing his uniform.  It is unclear whether or not an effigy was burned.  Brown claims McClintock was impugning his patriotism, where McClintock claims he is only questioning Brown’s judgment.

It is clear that McClintock has gone negative because he is worried he is losing.  A poll last week found Brown leading 46-41%.

Frankly, this seems like a whole lot of fuss over nothing.  Brown attended a rally against a war he opposed.  Whether or not others attending the rally took objectionable actions is not his responsibility.  We do know that Brown has a strong background in national security policies and supports progressive foreign policies.  He will be a fine addition to Congress.

You can learn more about Brown and his positions here.

During the hot presidential primary season, polling firms focused on presidential primary outcomes and not too much on congressional elections.

Now there are several new polls on Senate races each day that provide a glimpse of the contests.

There are some very interesting developments in the past few days.

Most surprising – a Kentucky poll showing Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R) dead even with his challenger, businessman Bruce Lunsford. This is the second poll in a week showing Lunsford catching up.  It is rare for party leaders to lose re-election battles in their home states, but it happened to Tom Dashle in South Dakota a few years back.

In Georgia, while some polls show incumbent Sen. Saxby Chambliss with a comfortable lead, two recent polls — one listed below — show a margin of as little as two points.

In another unexpected development, South Carolina Sen. Lindsey Graham (R), who appears to be spending all his time campaigning nationally for John McCain, is now only 9 points ahead of his little known challenger, Bob Conley (D). While no one believes that Graham is seriously threatened, he may have to spend more time before the home folks instead of strolling the country arm-in-arm with John McCain.

In two other Senate contests, Oregon and North Carolina, the Democratic challengers may have taken narrow leads over Republican incumbents.

In fact, political guru Stu Rothenberg has moved the Oregon Senate race to “lean takeover” for Jeff Merkley (D).

Nationally, most polls show Barack Obama with a narrow lead after trailing a couple of weeks ago.

Could there be a similar trend in Senate contests?  Stay tuned, and check back frequently.  This compendium will be updated almost every weekday.

Full polling data is here.

Rep. Thelma Drake’s (R) attack on Glenn Nye does not seem to be hurting the Council backed candidate.  As we blogged the other day, Drake criticized Nye for taking a tax exemption on a house he wasn’t living in.  The only problem is that Nye …

A new poll this week shows freshman Rep. Carol Shea-Porter (D) locked in a tight race with the Republican she defeated in 2006.  Shea-Porter surprised the political world in 2006 when she upset Republican Rep. Jeb Bradley by less than 5,000 votes….