NOTE: As of Wednesday afternoon, news reports indicate that the Kennedy family will endorse Martha Coakley for the Massachusetts Senate seat of the late Senator Ted Kennedy on Thursday.
Conservative bloggers are sensing a groundswell of support for state attorney general Martha Coakley’s Republican opponent Scott Brown, and say money is pouring into his campaign from those hoping for an upset.
A Rasmussen poll released January 5 showed Coakley ahead only 49% – 41%.
Journalist Robert Stacy McCain writes: “With the growing unpopularity of the Obama agenda, Martha is at risk of becoming that rare breed of loser — a Democrat who gets beat in Massachusetts.”
Are the conservative bloggers, including McCain (not the Senator), spotting a trend?
Very unlikely. If you are offered a bet against Brown, take it.
After all, Barack Obama carried 62% of the vote in Massachusetts in November 2008.
The state is heavily Democratic, and all ten U.S. Representatives are Democratic. The state senate has 35 Democrats to five Republicans and the state house 143 Democrats to 16 Republicans.
Martha Coakley has run and won statewide (for attorney general), while Scott Brown has not.
As of the November 18 reporting date, Coakley had raised $4.2 million and had $1.9 million in the bank; Brown had raised just $460,000 and had $258,000 left to spend.
The tea baggers see another victory following on the heels of GOP triumphs in the Virginia and New Jersey contests for governor.
National Republicans – the establishment despised by the tea baggers – aren’t buying in and aren’t helping Brown.
The moral: Yes, Virginia, Massachusetts is not New Jersey.