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You are here: Home / Council: Front and Center / Council: Front and Center: April 16, 2022

April 16, 2022

Council: Front and Center: April 16, 2022

“THE DOOR SHOULD ALWAYS BE OPEN TO DIPLOMACY”

As the teams here at the Council and at our sister organization, the Center for Arms Control and Non-Proliferation, continue to track new developments in Ukraine, the nuclear risks of the current crisis remain top of mind. In a rare joint statement, both the Council and Center’s Boards of Directors condemned Russia’s illegal and dangerous invasion of Ukraine. “The Ukraine War should be a wake up call about the ongoing risk of nuclear war and underline the importance of reducing the number of nuclear weapons,” said the statement signed on behalf of the 28 combined members of both boards. “We support all efforts to find a diplomatic solution to the war. The door should always be open to diplomacy.”

The team at the Center for Arms Control and Non-Proliferation has continued to update a series of frequently asked questions about the nuclear issues involved in the Ukraine crisis. They answer questions about why Ukraine is so important to Russia, whether Ukraine has the tools to build a nuclear weapon, the likelihood of Russian President Vladimir Putin using a nuclear weapon in Ukraine, and more. This information has been shared widely in Congressional offices and across social media, helping promote informed conversation in a sea of rapidly changing news and misinformation.

We know the news about the ongoing conflict can be overwhelming; here is a selection of several interviews featuring our team members over the past few weeks.

  • How Does a Conventional War Become Nuclear? (Research Analyst Monica Montgomery, The Intercept, March 11)
  • Putin Still a Rational Man Who Won’t Use Nuclear Weapons, Top Experts Say (Senior Policy Director John Erath, Newsweek, March 12)
  • Russia’s alleged ‘vacuum bomb’ use in Ukraine highlights weapons race with the US (Executive Director John Tierney, ABC News, March 16)
  • How Many Nuclear Weapons Exist, and Who Has Them? (Research Analyst Samuel Hickey, the Scientific American, March 22)
  • “The Threat is Increasing”: Kremlin Keeps Blurring Its Red Line Around Nuclear War (Research Analyst Monica Montgomery, Vanity Fair, March 24)

Senior Policy Director John Erath published an op-ed in Just Security, arguing that ensuring the interests of Ukraine and its government take precedence at the negotiating table will provide the best prospect for an enduring peace. “A lasting solution requires keeping the best interests of the Ukrainian people in mind, something that could take many more months or longer to accomplish. There are risks that attempting a fast conclusion could prolong the suffering it would be meant to alleviate,” says Erath. The piece has also been translated into Ukrainian by a group of Ukrainian public international lawyers.

Erath has also written several new posts for the Center’s Nukes of Hazard blog. Russian Atrocities and the Importance of Deterrence looks at how the international community can deter future human rights abuses in Ukraine by raising the opportunity costs to violations of international norms. Little or Too Much examines how, once again, Putin is using threats of nuclear weapons as an instrument of statecraft in an attempt to deter Sweden and Finland from joining NATO, and the dangers to arms control if these actions are normalized.

BIDEN ADMINISTRATION UNVEILS DISAPPOINTING NUCLEAR POSTURE REVIEW AND FISCAL YEAR 2023 BUDGET REQUEST

In late March, President Biden’s team released initial documents for the Fiscal Year 2023 budget and details related to its recently completed but still classified Nuclear Posture Review (NPR). While the budget and NPR will take some commonsense steps to reverse some of the worst nuclear policies of the Trump administration, we believe they fall far short of the expectations raised by Candidate Biden when he said he would reduce the role of nuclear weapons. Check out the Center’s initial analysis of the $813 billion national defense budget request and the Council’s full statement on the budget.

POLITICAL FIGHT BREWING OVER NUCLEAR WEAPONS CUTS  

The Biden administration has decided to scrap plans to develop a new nuclear-armed sea-launched cruise missile initiated by the Trump administration and finally retire the last megaton-sized nuclear warhead in the U.S. arsenal, the B83 gravity bomb. However, many hawkish Members of Congress are actively working to reverse that decision, aided by the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs Gen. Mark Milley who last week told Congress he disagrees with the President’s decision to cut these programs.

The Council has been at the center of this fight, working with our allies in Congress to shelve the systems for good and increase public education and media attention to the issue. Executive Director John Tierney was quoted in a POLITICO article this week:

Canceling the cruise missile and retiring gravity bomb are simply “common sense” moves, according to former Rep. John Tierney, executive director of the Council for a Livable World, arguing that Biden’s nuclear vision “falls far short” of the changes he should have pursued.

THE FINAL HURDLE TO REVIVE THE IRAN DEAL 

By all accounts, the final sticking point between Washington and Tehran is whether or not to lift the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps listing as a Foreign Terrorist Organization. The Council has been busy explaining how the negotiators got to this point and building support in Congress for a return to the deal, should the Biden administration secure a compromise on this last issue.

Writing in Arms Control Today, Research Analyst Samuel Hickey laid out the current status of the negotiations and explained Russia’s efforts to tie its illegal invasion of Ukraine to the talks in Vienna. In that same publication, Hickey discussed a new agreement between Iran and the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) to resolve Iran’s safeguards compliance issues; previously the largest sticking point in the talks. Hickey also joined a TRT World Roundtable panel to discuss Russia’s role in revving the nuclear deal and provided commentary to the Italian Institute for International Political Studies on how Russia’s efforts to throw a spanner in the gears of the talks would impact Iran’s cooperation with the IAEA.

Hickey also authored a set of frequently asked questions about the Iran deal and set the record straight on some of the most common misperceptions surrounding the 2015 agreement and ongoing talks in Vienna to revive the deal.

NEW CANDIDATE ENDORSEMENTS

In recent weeks, Council for a Livable World has been proud to roll out the endorsement of nine great new Senate and House candidates. On the Senate side, we endorsed Cheri Beasley, Sen. Chris Van Hollen and Rep. Peter Welch. Donate to these or other Senate candidates endorsed by the Council.

On the House side, we endorsed Rep. Colin Allred, Rep. Bill Foster, Rep. Chrissy Houlahan, Rep. Sara Jacobs, Rep. Annie Kuster and Rep. Andy Levin. Donate to these or other House candidates endorsed by the Council.

A CONVERSATION WITH REP. KATIE PORTER
Join Executive Director John Tierney as he sits down one-on-one with California Congresswoman — and 2022 Council endorsee — Katie Porter for a discussion of Rep. Porter’s current work on our issues, nuclear threats past and present, and why it is so essential for people to get involved in policy through politics. The event will take place May 5, 2022 from 7 p.m. ET — 7:30 p.m. via Zoom. There will be a chance to ask Rep. Porter your questions — when registering for the event, be sure to note your question. We look forward to seeing you there!

WHAT ELSE

Finding windows for cooperation amid rising nuclear threats, by Spring 2022 intern Anna Kim

Biden plan to shelve Trump-era sea nuke comes under fire, featuring a quote from Political Director Geoff Wilson

Congress is Already Blowing a Key Chance to Reform Nuclear Weapons Policy, featuring a quote from Advocacy Coordinator Monica Montgomery

Fact Sheet: The Nunn-Lugar Cooperative Threat Reduction Program

America’s new multibillion-dollar nuclear warhead is a great deal for the British, by Summer 2021 intern Shane Ward

YOUR CHANGE CAN CHANGE THE WORLD
Want an easy way to give back to the Council? Round up your change to change the world! Every time you make a purchase on the selected debit/credit card you enroll, the system will round up to the next dollar. The change is then donated to the Council collectively once per month. Enroll on our website: follow the prompts to register the debit/credit card you would like to use to participate.

ENDORSED CANDIDATES

HOUSE

Rep. Colin Allred (D-TX-32)
Rep. Don Beyer (D-VA-08)

Rep. Angie Craig (D-MN-02)

Rep. Lloyd Doggett (D-TX-37)

Rep. Bill Foster (D-IL-11)

Rep. John Garamendi (D-CA-08)

Rep. Chrissy Houlahan (D-PA-06)

Rep. Sara Jacobs (D-CA-51)

Rep. Mondaire Jones (D-NY-17)

Rep. Andy Kim (D-NJ-03)

Rep. Annie Kuster (D-NH-02)

Rep. Teresa Leger Fernandez (D-NM-03)

Rep. Andy Levin (D-MI-11)

Rep. Mike Levin (D-CA-49)

Rep. Tom Malinowski (D-NJ-07)

Rep. Joe Neguse (D-CO-02)

Rep. Ilhan Omar (D-MN-05)

Rep. Katie Porter (D-CA-45)

SENATE

Cheri Beasley (D-NC)

Sen. Michael Bennet (D-CO)

Sen. Maggie Hassan (D-NH)

Sen. Patty Murray (D-WA)

Rep. Tim Ryan (D-OH)

Sen. Chris Van Hollen (D-MD)

Rep. Peter Welch (D-VT)

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