The Battleground States: Predictions from the “Other” Experts
Each election cycle, in addition to our own analyses, we compile predictions by other political race experts on the most competitive races in the country. Below, find forecasts for 2010 Senate elections from Stuart Rothenberg’s Political Report, Congressional Quarterly, the Cook Political Report, and Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball.
(check back for frequent updates at: http://www.clw2020.wpengine.com/elections/2010/predictions_other_experts/
Alaska
Sen. Lisa Murkowski (R) (incumbent) write in vs. Joe Miller (R) vs. Scott McAdams (D)
Rothenberg Political Report: Currently safe Republican
Congressional Quarterly: Likely Republican
Cook Political Report: Likely Republican
Larry J. Sabato’s Crystal Ball: Likely Republican
Arkansas
Sen. Blanche Lincoln (D) (incumbent) vs. U.S. Rep. John Boozman (R)
Rothenberg Political Report: Republican favored
Congressional Quarterly: Likely Republican
Cook Political Report: Leans Republican
Larry J. Sabato’s Crystal Ball: Likely Republican
California
Sen. Barbara Boxer (D) (incumbent) vs. Carly Fiorina (R)
Rothenberg Political Report: Leans Democratic
Congressional Quarterly: Leans Democratic
Cook Political Report: Toss-up
Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball: Toss-up
Colorado
Sen. Michael Bennet (D) (appointed incumbent) vs. Dan Buck (R)
Rothenberg Political Report: Toss-up
Congressional Quarterly: Toss-up
Cook Political Report: Toss-up
Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball: Leans Republican
Connecticut
State Attorney General Richard Blumenthal (D) vs. Linda McMahon (R)
Rothenberg Political Report: Leans Democratic
Congressional Quarterly: Toss-up
Cook Political Report: Toss-up
Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball: Leans Democratic
Delaware
Chris Coons (D) vs. Christine O’Donnell (R)
Rothenberg Political Report: Democrat favored
Congressional Quarterly: Likely Democratic
Cook Political Report: Likely Democratic
Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball: Likely Democratic
Florida
Gov. Charlie Crist (I) vs. Marco Rubio (R) vs. U.S. Rep. Kendrick Meek (D)
Rothenberg Political Report: Republican favored
Congressional Quarterly: Leans Republican
Cook Political Report: Toss-up
Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball: Leans Republican
Illinois
Alexi Giannoulias (D) vs U.S. Rep. Mark Kirk (R)
Rothenberg Political Report: Toss-up/Republican favored
Congressional Quarterly: Toss-up
Cook Political Report: Toss-up
Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball: Toss-up
Indiana
U.S. Rep. Brad Ellsworth (D) vs. former Senator Dan Coats (R)
Rothenberg Political Report: Republican favored
Congressional Quarterly: Leans Republican
Cook Political Report: Leans Republican
Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball: Likely Republican
Iowa
Sen. Charles Grassley (R) (incumbent) vs. Roxanne Conlin (D)
Rothenberg Political Report: Safe Republican
Congressional Quarterly: Safe Republican
Cook Political Report: Solid Republican
Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball: Safe Republican
Kansas
U.S. Rep. Jerry Moran (R) vs. Lisa Johnston (D)
Rothenberg Political Report: Safe Republican
Congressional Quarterly: Safe Republican
Cook Political Report: Solid Republican
Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball: Safe Republican
Kentucky
Jack Conway (D) vs. Rand Paul (R)
Rothenberg Political Report: Toss-up/Tilt Republican
Congressional Quarterly:Leans Republican
Cook Political Report: Toss-up
Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball: Leans Republican
Louisiana
Senator David Vitter (R) (incumbent) vs. U.S. Rep. Charlie Melancon (D)
Rothenberg Political Report: Republican favored
Congressional Quarterly: Likely Republican
Cook Political Report: Leans Republican
Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball: Likely Republican
Missouri
Secretary of State Robin Carnahan (D) vs. U.S. Rep. Roy Blunt (R)
Rothenberg Political Report: Toss-up/Tilt Republican
Congressional Quarterly: Toss-up
Cook Political Report: Toss-up
Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball: Leans Republican
Nevada
Senator Harry Reid (D) (incumbent) vs. Sharron Angle (R)
Rothenberg Political Report: Toss-up
Congressional Quarterly: Toss-up
Cook Political Report: Toss-up
Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball: Toss-up
New Hampshire
U.S. Rep. Paul Hodes (D) vs. Kelly Ayotte (R)
Rothenberg Political Report: Republican favored
Congressional Quarterly: Leans Republican
Cook Political Report: Toss-up
Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball: Leans Republican
New York (B)
Senator Kirsten Gillibrand (D) (appointed incumbent) vs. former U.S. Rep. Joseph DioGuardi (R)
Rothenberg Political Report: Safe Democratic
Congressional Quarterly: Safe Democratic
Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic
Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball: Safe Democratic
North Carolina
Sen. Richard Burr (R) (incumbent) vs. Elaine Marshall (D
Rothenberg Political Report: Republican favored
Congressional Quarterly: Likely Republican
Cook Political Report: Likely Republican
Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball: Likely Republican
North Dakota
Gov. John Hoeven (R) vs. Tracy Potter (D)
Rothenberg Political Report: Safe Republican
Congressional Quarterly: Safe Republican
Cook Political Report: Solid Republican
Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball: Safe Republican
Ohio
Lee Fisher (D) vs. Rob Portman (R)
Rothenberg Political Report: Leans Republican
Congressional Quarterly: Leans Republican
Cook Political Report: Leans Republican
Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball: Likely Republican
Pennsylvania
U.S. Rep. Joseph Sestak (D) vs. former U.S. Rep. Pat Toomey (R)
Rothenberg Political Report: Toss-up/Tilt Republican
Congressional Quarterly: Leans Republican
Cook Political Report: Toss-up
Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball: Leans Republican
Utah
Mike Lee (R) vs. Sam Granato (D)
Rothenberg Political Report: Safe Republican (R)
Congressional Quarterly: Safe Republican
Cook Political Report: Solid Republican
Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball: Safe Republican
Washington
Sen. Patty Murray (D) (incumbent) vs. Dino Rossi (R)
Rothenberg Political Report: Toss-up/Tilt Democrat
Congressional Quarterly: Toss-up
Cook Political Report: Toss-up
Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball: Toss-up
West Virginia
Gov. Joe Manchin (D) vs. John Raese (R)
Rothenberg Political Report: Toss-up/Tilt Democratic
Congressional Quarterly: Toss-up
Cook Political Report: Toss-up
Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball: Leans Democratic
Wisconsin
Sen. Russ Feingold (D) (incumbent) vs. Ron Johnson (R)
Rothenberg Political Report: Toss-Up/Tilt Republican
Congressional Quarterly: Toss-up
Cook Political Report: Toss-up
Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball: Toss-Up
**Last Updated: October 5, 2010
