With additional Senate contests tightening as Republican support ebbs in the face of the terrible economic situation, another political pro calls the possibility of Democrats winning 60 seats in the next Senate plausible. Wrote Chris Cillizza in…
Poll Confirms Massa Lead in NY
A Daily Kos poll out today confirms an earlier poll showing Eric Massa with a solid lead over Rep. Randy Kuhl.
Research 2000 for Daily Kos (10/7-8, likely voters):
Eric Massa (D): 49
Randy Kuhl (R-inc): 42
(MoE: ±5%)
This is good to see. Massa came real close to defeating Kuhl in 2006 with little support from outside his district (other than Council for a Livable World – not that we’re bragging). He did it by working hard and assembling a strong grassroots operation. It’s nice to see that work paying off this year.
Click here to help Eric Massa close the game ahead.
Maffei Holds Solid Lead in Upstate New York
My instinct was that Dan Maffei held a lead against his Republican opponent to replace retiring Rep. Jim Walsh (R), but not as large a lead as shown in a poll Maffei released this week:
Kiley & Co. (10/2-3, 500 likely voters)
Maffei – 49%
Sweetland – 31%
(MOE ±4%)
Learn more about Dan Maffei here.
Michigan – 3 New Polls in Peters v. Knollenberg
When it rains, it pours! Three polls have been released in the past few days looking at the race between CLW endorsee Gary Peters and Rep. Joe Knollenberg. Taken together they paint a pretty clear picture of Peters holding a narrow lead in a tight race. Here are the numbers:
Grove Insight for the DCCC (10/4-5, likely voters, 8/17-19 in parens):
Gary Peters (D): 46 (41)
Joe Knollenberg (R-inc): 37 (37)
Jack Kevorkian (I): 2 (8)
Undecided: 15 (14)
(MoE: ±4.9%)
Mitchell Research & Communications (9/30-10/2, likely voters):
Gary Peters (D): 43
Joe Knollenberg (R-inc): 43
(MoE: ±6%)
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner for Gary Peters (10/6-7, likely voters):
Gary Peters (D): 43
Joe Knollenberg (R-inc): 40
Jack Kevorkian (I): 5
Other: 5
Undecided: 8
(MoE: ±4.9%)
Gary Peters is well known and liked in Michigan due to his successful tenure as State Lottery Commissioner. He is reported to be ready to announce that he raised more than $650k since July, quite a tidy sum for a challenger. Also, as I pointed out in an earlier post, McCan’s decision to stop campaigning in Michigan should put a serious damper on Republican organizing in downballot races. All, in all, things are looking very good for Peters.
Help Peters reach the finish line here.
Another Poll Shows Madia Leading in MN
A new poll echos the poll I blogged on the other day, showing Ashwin Madia leading the race to replace retiring Rep. Jim Ramstad (R):
SurveyUSA (10/6-7, likely voters, 8/26-28 in parens):
Ashwin Madia (D): 46 (41)
Erik Paulsen (R): 43 (44)
David Dillon (IP): 8
(MoE: ±4%)
Doubtless one of the reasons Madia is winning is because his experiences in Iraq have enabled him to eloquently describe a pragmatic approach to ending that conflict, as this video demonstrates.
You can learn more about Ashwin Madia here.
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